Orleans vs Villefranche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orleans welcome Villefranche to Stade de la Source for a National 1 fixture on Friday 27 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Villefranche are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Orleans, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gobelins, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Villefranche, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Le Puy Foot, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orleans, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Villefranche.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 1.8 xG, Villefranche 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 55%, draw 24%, Villefranche 21%.
Lower-risk option: Orleans or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orleans to win (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 1–0 Villefranche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orleans55%fair 1.81 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Villefranche21%fair 4.80 · @4.50
2.81Expected goals
1.80Orleans xG
1.01Villefranche xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Orleans 1.8 – 1.0 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Double chance
Orleans or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Orleans (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Villefranche +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Orleans to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Orleans ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orleans / FT Orleans✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Orleans – last 4
WWWD
13 Mar
vs Gobelins
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
3–1
W
20 Feb
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Villefranche – last 6
LWLLLD
20 Mar
vs Le Puy Foot
2–3
L
13 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Valenciennes
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Dijon
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Fleury 91
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and Villefranche.
What is the prediction for Orleans vs Villefranche?
Our pick is Orleans to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Orleans vs Villefranche?
On our numbers Orleans have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villefranche 21%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Villefranche?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Villefranche?
Our predicted score is Orleans 1–0 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Villefranche?
Orleans vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon3
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0