Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Rouen vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the National 1 brings Rouen against Caen at Stade Robert Diochon. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gobelins, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Caen, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Le Puy Foot, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.5 for Caen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.6 xG, Caen 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 53%, draw 26%, Caen 21%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen53%fair 1.89 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Caen21%fair 4.76 · @3.90
2.66Expected goals
1.62Rouen xG
1.04Caen xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.6 – 1.0 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Caen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Rouen – last 5
DWLDW
20 Mar
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Chateauroux
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Caen – last 4
LDLD
13 Mar
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Caen.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rouen vs Caen?
On our numbers Rouen have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Caen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Caen?
Rouen vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon3
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0