Aubagne vs Chateauroux: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aubagne welcome Chateauroux to Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny for a National 1 fixture on Friday 3 April (18:30 WAT).
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Valenciennes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Chateauroux, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Concarneau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chateauroux, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.2 xG, Chateauroux 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 35%, draw 27%, Chateauroux 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Chateauroux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne35%fair 2.85 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Chateauroux38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.49Expected goals
1.19Aubagne xG
1.30Chateauroux xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.2 – 1.3 Chateauroux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chateauroux to win✗
38%
2.63
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Chateauroux (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Chateauroux to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 6
DLLLLL
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chateauroux – last 6
WLLDLL
27 Mar
vs Concarneau
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Caen
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Rouen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Chateauroux.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chateauroux 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Chateauroux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
Aubagne vs Chateauroux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Stade Briochin1
Dijon1
Sochaux0