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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caen v Stade Briochin: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen

DLDLD
1–1
FT
Caen 58%Draw 23%Stade Briochin 19% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.00
81%
Betarazi pick

Caen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaen to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Caen vs Stade Briochin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Caen welcome Stade Briochin to Stade Michel d'Ornano for a National 1 fixture on Friday 3 April (18:30 WAT).

Current form

Caen, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rouen, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Stade Briochin, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gobelins, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.9 xG, Stade Briochin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 58%, draw 23%, Stade Briochin 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Caen or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Caen or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 1–1 Stade Briochin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caen58%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Stade Briochin19%fair 5.22 · @4.20
2.89Expected goals
1.88Caen xG
1.00Stade Briochin xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Caen 1.9 – 1.0 Stade Briochin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaen to win ✗58%1.741.73
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.80
Draw no betCaen (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapStade Briochin +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreCaen to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultCaen ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caen / FT Caen ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Caen – last 5

DLDLD
27 Mar@ Rouen1–1D
13 Mar@ Le Puy Foot0–1L
6 Marvs Chateauroux2–2D
20 Febvs Sochaux1–3L
13 Feb@ Dijon3–3D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Stade Briochin – last 6

LWLLDL
27 Marvs Gobelins0–1L
17 Marvs Chateauroux2–0W
13 Mar@ Rouen2–3L
6 Marvs Orleans1–3L
27 Feb@ Le Puy Foot1–1D
17 Febvs Fleury 912–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caen and Stade Briochin.

Caen vs Stade Briochin head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caen vs Stade Briochin?

Our pick is Caen or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Caen vs Stade Briochin?

On our numbers Caen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade Briochin 19%.

How many goals will there be in Caen vs Stade Briochin?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caen vs Stade Briochin?

Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 Stade Briochin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Caen vs Stade Briochin?

Caen vs Stade Briochin (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.