Concarneau v Le Puy Foot Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultConcarneau to win ✗40% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Friday 3 April: Concarneau v Le Puy Foot in the National 1, played at Stade Guy Piriou. In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Le Puy Foot are 8th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Concarneau, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Chateauroux, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Le Puy Foot, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Villefranche, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Le Puy Foot, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Concarneau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.3 xG, Le Puy Foot 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 40%, draw 27%, Le Puy Foot 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–1 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Concarneau40%fair 2.53 · @2.50

Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90

Le Puy Foot33%fair 3.03 · @2.60

2.43Expected goals

1.34Concarneau xG

1.09Le Puy Foot xG

53%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–19%

2–08%

From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 1.1 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Concarneau to win ✗	40%	2.53	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.38	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.88	1.85
Draw no bet	Concarneau (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.84	–
Asian handicap	Le Puy Foot +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Concarneau to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau ✗	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.61	–

Concarneau – last 6

LLLDWL

27 Mar	@ Chateauroux	1–3	L
20 Mar	vs Valenciennes	1–2	L
13 Mar	@ Sochaux	0–2	L
6 Mar	vs Dijon	1–1	D
27 Feb	@ Fleury 91	4–0	W
20 Feb	vs Versailles	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Le Puy Foot – last 6

WWWDDD

20 Mar	@ Villefranche	3–2	W
13 Mar	vs Caen	1–0	W
6 Mar	@ Gobelins	1–0	W
27 Feb	vs Stade Briochin	1–1	D
20 Feb	@ Rouen	1–1	D
13 Feb	vs Orleans	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Rouen	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Caen	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Versailles	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+11	20
6	Concarneau	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Cannes	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Le Puy Foot	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gobelins	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Quevilly	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Thionville Lusitanos	12	4	4	4	0	16
12	Fleury 91	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Orleans	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Valenciennes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Villefranche	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Aubagne	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Team

Pts

+13

+11

-1

-3

-4

-5

-6

-16

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?

On our numbers Concarneau have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Le Puy Foot 33%.

How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?

Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?

Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Concarneau v Le Puy Foot: numbers & prediction