Villefranche v Rouen Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRouen to win ✗58% · @1.83

Double chanceRouen or draw ✗83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Villefranche vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rouen travel to face Villefranche on Friday 3 April in the National 1, with Stade Armand Chouffet the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Villefranche are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Villefranche, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orleans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Rouen, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Villefranche.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villefranche 0.9 xG, Rouen 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Villefranche 17%, draw 25%, Rouen 58%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rouen to win (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villefranche 0–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villefranche17%fair 5.91 · @4.00

Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00

Rouen58%fair 1.74 · @1.83

2.66Expected goals

0.86Villefranche xG

1.80Rouen xG

52%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

0–211%

1–111%

1–210%

0–07%

0–37%

From our goals model: Villefranche 0.9 – 1.8 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Rouen to win ✗	58%	1.74	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Rouen or draw ✗	83%	1.20	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	2.05 ▲
Draw no bet	Rouen (draw no bet) ✗	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Villefranche +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.99	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Rouen to score first ✗	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Rouen ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Rouen / FT Rouen ✗	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Villefranche – last 6

DLWLLL

27 Mar	@ Orleans	0–0	D
20 Mar	vs Le Puy Foot	2–3	L
13 Mar	@ Chateauroux	1–0	W
6 Mar	vs Valenciennes	2–3	L
27 Feb	@ Sochaux	1–2	L
20 Feb	vs Dijon	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Rouen – last 6

DDWLDW

27 Mar	vs Caen	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Gobelins	0–0	D
13 Mar	vs Stade Briochin	3–2	W
6 Mar	@ Bourg-en-bresse 01	1–3	L
20 Feb	vs Le Puy Foot	1–1	D
13 Feb	@ Chateauroux	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Rouen	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Caen	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Versailles	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+11	20
6	Concarneau	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Cannes	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Le Puy Foot	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gobelins	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Quevilly	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Thionville Lusitanos	12	4	4	4	0	16
12	Fleury 91	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Orleans	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Valenciennes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Villefranche	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Aubagne	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Team

Pts

+13

+11

-1

-3

-4

-5

-6

-16

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villefranche vs Rouen?

Our pick is Rouen to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Villefranche vs Rouen?

On our numbers Villefranche have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rouen 58%.

How many goals will there be in Villefranche vs Rouen?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villefranche vs Rouen?

Our predicted score is Villefranche 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Villefranche vs Rouen?

Villefranche vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Chouffet.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Villefranche v Rouen: numbers & prediction