Aubagne vs Orleans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the National 1 brings Aubagne against Orleans at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Orleans are 14th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Le Puy Foot, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Orleans, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concarneau, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orleans, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.0 xG, Orleans 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 24%, draw 27%, Orleans 49%.
Lower-risk option: Orleans or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orleans or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 0–1 Orleans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Orleans49%fair 2.03 · @1.90
2.42Expected goals
0.98Aubagne xG
1.44Orleans xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.0 – 1.4 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✓
49%
2.03
1.90
Double chance
Orleans or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Orleans (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Orleans to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orleans / FT Orleans✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 6
WDDLLL
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
DDWWWD
10 Apr
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Gobelins
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
3–1
W
20 Feb
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Orleans.
Our pick is Orleans or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aubagne vs Orleans?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Orleans 49%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Orleans?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Orleans?
Aubagne vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0