Value bet: Gobelins to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGobelins to win ✗37% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Villefranche vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villefranche welcome Gobelins to Stade Armand Chouffet for a National 1 fixture on Friday 17 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Villefranche are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Villefranche, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stade Briochin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gobelins, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Caen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Villefranche, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Gobelins.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villefranche 1.1 xG, Gobelins 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villefranche 35%, draw 28%, Gobelins 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Gobelins to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villefranche 1–1 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villefranche35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.80
Gobelins37%fair 2.69 · @2.95
2.45Expected goals
1.13Villefranche xG
1.32Gobelins xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Villefranche 1.1 – 1.3 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gobelins to win✗
37%
2.69
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Draw no bet
Gobelins (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Villefranche +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Gobelins to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gobelins / FT Gobelins✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Villefranche – last 6
DWDLWL
10 Apr
@ Stade Briochin
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Rouen
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Orleans
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Le Puy Foot
2–3
L
13 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Valenciennes
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 6
LLWDLL
10 Apr
vs Caen
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Rouen
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Orleans
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villefranche and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Villefranche vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Villefranche vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Villefranche have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gobelins 37%.
How many goals will there be in Villefranche vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villefranche vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Villefranche 1–1 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Villefranche vs Gobelins?
Villefranche vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Chouffet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0