Value bet: Caen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCaen to win ✓48% · @2.45
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bourg-en-bresse 01 welcome Caen to Stade Marcel-Verchere for a National 1 fixture on Friday 17 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Caen, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gobelins, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.9 xG, Caen 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 26%, draw 26%, Caen 48%.
Lower-risk option: Caen or draw (74%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Caen to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Caen or draw (74%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0126%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.95
Caen48%fair 2.08 · @2.45
2.44Expected goals
0.89Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.55Caen xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.9 – 1.6 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✓
48%
2.08
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Caen or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Caen (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Caen to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
LWLLWL
10 Apr
@ Dijon
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Gobelins
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Fleury 91
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Versailles
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Rouen
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Orleans
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
WDDLDL
10 Apr
@ Gobelins
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Caen.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our pick is Caen or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caen 48%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0