Concarneau vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rouen travel to face Concarneau on Friday 17 April in the National 1, with Stade Guy Piriou the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Concarneau, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orleans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rouen, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villefranche, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Concarneau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.1 xG, Rouen 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 32%, draw 27%, Rouen 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Rouen41%fair 2.43 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
1.10Concarneau xG
1.24Rouen xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.1 – 1.2 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
41%
2.43
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Concarneau +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Concarneau – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Apr
@ Orleans
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Le Puy Foot
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
LDDWLD
3 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Caen
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Rouen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Concarneau vs Rouen?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rouen 41%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Rouen?
Concarneau vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0