18:30 WAT, Friday 24 April: Rouen v Aubagne in the National 1, played at Stade Robert Diochon. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Concarneau, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aubagne, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Orleans, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.9 xG, Aubagne 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 66%, draw 22%, Aubagne 12%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen66%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.75
Aubagne12%fair 8.25 · @6.40
2.54Expected goals
1.91Rouen xG
0.63Aubagne xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.9 – 0.6 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Rouen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Rouen ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Rouen – last 6
DLDDWL
17 Apr
@ Concarneau
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Caen
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 6
LWDDLL
17 Apr
vs Orleans
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Aubagne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rouen vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Rouen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aubagne 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Aubagne?
Rouen vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin1
Dijon1