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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stade Briochin v Concarneau: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Fred-Aubert
1–2
FT
Stade Briochin 31%Draw 29%Concarneau 41% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.31
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultConcarneau to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.81

Stade Briochin vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Concarneau travel to face Stade Briochin on Friday 24 April in the National 1, with Stade Fred-Aubert the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Stade Briochin, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villefranche, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Concarneau, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rouen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stade Briochin, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Concarneau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stade Briochin 1.1 xG, Concarneau 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Briochin 31%, draw 29%, Concarneau 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Briochin 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stade Briochin31%fair 3.25 · @3.30
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Concarneau41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
2.42Expected goals
1.11Stade Briochin xG
1.31Concarneau xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Stade Briochin 1.1 – 1.3 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcarneau to win ✓41%2.462.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.77
Draw no betConcarneau (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapStade Briochin +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreConcarneau to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concarneau / FT Concarneau ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.81–

Recent results

Stade Briochin – last 6

DDLWLL
10 Aprvs Villefranche0–0D
3 Apr@ Caen1–1D
27 Marvs Gobelins0–1L
17 Marvs Chateauroux2–0W
13 Mar@ Rouen2–3L
6 Marvs Orleans1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Concarneau – last 6

DDLLLL
17 Aprvs Rouen0–0D
10 Apr@ Orleans1–1D
3 Aprvs Le Puy Foot0–3L
27 Mar@ Chateauroux1–3L
20 Marvs Valenciennes1–2L
13 Mar@ Sochaux0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stade Briochin and Concarneau.

Stade Briochin vs Concarneau head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?

On our numbers Stade Briochin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Concarneau 41%.

How many goals will there be in Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?

Our predicted score is Stade Briochin 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?

Stade Briochin vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Fred-Aubert.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.