Valenciennes vs Dijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valenciennes welcome Dijon to Stade du Hainaut for a National 1 fixture on Friday 24 April (18:30 WAT).
Current form
Valenciennes, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fleury 91, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dijon, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sochaux, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenciennes 1.2 xG, Dijon 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenciennes 29%, draw 26%, Dijon 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenciennes 1–1 Dijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenciennes29%fair 3.40 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.00
Dijon45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
2.73Expected goals
1.20Valenciennes xG
1.53Dijon xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.2 – 1.5 Dijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Dijon (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Dijon to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Valenciennes – last 6
LWLDWW
17 Apr
@ Fleury 91
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Versailles
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Quevilly
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Aubagne
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Concarneau
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dijon – last 6
DWLWWW
17 Apr
vs Sochaux
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Fleury 91
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Versailles
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Quevilly
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Aubagne
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Dijon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Dijon?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dijon 45%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Dijon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Dijon?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Dijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Dijon?
Valenciennes vs Dijon (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.