Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEldense to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Eldense vs Ibiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Eldense against Ibiza at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Ibiza, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marbella, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eldense 1.4 xG, Ibiza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eldense 44%, draw 26%, Ibiza 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eldense 1–1 Ibiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eldense44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Ibiza29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.41Eldense xG
1.05Ibiza xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.4 – 1.1 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Eldense
Ibiza
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+9%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.64
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eldense to win✓
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Eldense (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Ibiza +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Eldense to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eldense / FT Eldense✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Eldense – last 2
LD
4 Mar
@ Villarreal II
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 4
LWLW
15 Mar
vs Marbella
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Ibiza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Eldense vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Eldense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ibiza 29%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Ibiza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Eldense 1–1 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs Ibiza?
Eldense vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella3
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona