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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Murcia v Tarazona: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Enrique Roca
Sun 22 Mar 2026
Real Murcia 57%Draw 26%Tarazona 16% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.60
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Murcia to win57% · @1.68
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.29

Real Murcia vs Tarazona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tarazona travel to face Real Murcia on Sunday 22 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Enrique Roca the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.

Current form

Real Murcia, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hércules, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Tarazona, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atlético Madrid II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tarazona, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Real Murcia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.4 xG, Tarazona 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 57%, draw 26%, Tarazona 16%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Murcia57%fair 1.74 · @1.68
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Tarazona16%fair 6.16 · @5.40
2.00Expected goals
1.40Real Murcia xG
0.60Tarazona xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–013%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.4 – 0.6 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real MurciaTarazona
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average-14%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-29%-1%
Our expected goals here1.420.63

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Murcia to win57%1.741.68
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw84%1.191.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.881.42
Draw no betReal Murcia (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapTarazona +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.681.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals67%1.491.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals95%1.06–
First team to scoreReal Murcia to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019%5.29–

Recent results

Real Murcia – last 5

LDLLL
15 Mar@ Hércules0–2L
11 Marvs Marbella1–1D
6 Marvs Sanluqueño0–1L
22 Febvs FC Cartagena1–2L
15 Feb@ Alcorcon0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Tarazona – last 4

LDLW
15 Marvs Atlético Madrid II1–4L
8 Marvs FC Cartagena0–0D
1 Mar@ Ibiza0–1L
21 Febvs Sevilla Atletico2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Tarazona.

Real Murcia vs Tarazona head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Real Murcia vs Tarazona?

On our numbers Real Murcia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tarazona 16%.

How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Tarazona?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?

Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Real Murcia vs Tarazona?

Real Murcia vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.