Real Murcia 57%Draw 26%Tarazona 16%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.60
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia to win57% · @1.68
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.29
Real Murcia vs Tarazona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tarazona travel to face Real Murcia on Sunday 22 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Enrique Roca the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Real Murcia, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hércules, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Tarazona, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atlético Madrid II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tarazona, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Real Murcia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.4 xG, Tarazona 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 57%, draw 26%, Tarazona 16%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia57%fair 1.74 · @1.68
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Tarazona16%fair 6.16 · @5.40
2.00Expected goals
1.40Real Murcia xG
0.60Tarazona xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–013%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.4 – 0.6 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Murcia
Tarazona
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-14%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.63
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win
57%
1.74
1.68
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.42
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Tarazona +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
19%
5.29
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 5
LDLLL
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Sanluqueño
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FC Cartagena
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Alcorcon
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 4
LDLW
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Tarazona.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tarazona 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Tarazona?
Real Murcia vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.