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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marbella v Sevilla Atletico: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Banús Football Center
3–0
FT
Marbella 56%Draw 24%Sevilla Atletico 20% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.79
56%
Betarazi pick

Marbella to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarbella to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceMarbella or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83

Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Marbella welcome Sevilla Atletico to Banús Football Center for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 22 March (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Marbella, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ibiza, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sevilla Atletico, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antequera, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Momentum favours Marbella, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Sevilla Atletico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.6 xG, Sevilla Atletico 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 56%, draw 24%, Sevilla Atletico 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Marbella or draw (80%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Marbella to win (56%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–0 Sevilla Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marbella56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Sevilla Atletico20%fair 5.04 · @3.95
2.39Expected goals
1.60Marbella xG
0.79Sevilla Atletico xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Marbella 1.6 – 0.8 Sevilla Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MarbellaSevilla Atletico
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average+13%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+3%
Our expected goals here1.940.90

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarbella to win ✓56%1.791.90 ▲
Double chanceMarbella or draw ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betMarbella (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapSevilla Atletico +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreMarbella to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marbella / FT Marbella ✓34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.83–

Recent results

Marbella – last 4

WDWL
15 Mar@ Ibiza1–0W
11 Mar@ Real Murcia1–1D
22 Febvs Algeciras4–1W
15 Feb@ FC Cartagena1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sevilla Atletico – last 5

DLLLL
15 Marvs Antequera1–1D
6 Mar@ Real Betis II1–3L
25 Feb@ FC Cartagena0–1L
21 Feb@ Tarazona0–2L
15 Febvs Teruel0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Sevilla Atletico.

Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico head-to-head page →

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

Our pick is Marbella to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

On our numbers Marbella have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla Atletico 20%.

How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

Our predicted score is Marbella 1–0 Sevilla Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.