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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Athletic Club II v Arenas Getxo: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Lezama Facilities
Athletic Club II 59%Draw 23%Arenas Getxo 18% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.86
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAthletic Club II to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arenas Getxo travel to face Athletic Club II on Sunday 8 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Lezama Facilities the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club II are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Arenas Getxo are 19th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Athletic Club II, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lugo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club II 1.8 xG, Arenas Getxo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club II 59%, draw 23%, Arenas Getxo 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club II 2–0 Arenas Getxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Athletic Club II59%fair 1.70 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Arenas Getxo18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
2.65Expected goals
1.79Athletic Club II xG
0.86Arenas Getxo xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.8 – 0.9 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Athletic Club IIArenas Getxo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average+2%-13%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+48%
Our expected goals here2.070.96

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthletic Club II to win ✗59%1.701.65
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betAthletic Club II (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapArenas Getxo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAthletic Club II to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultAthletic Club II ahead at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Athletic Club II – last 3

LWL
27 Feb@ Lugo0–1L
21 Febvs Zamora1–0W
13 Feb@ Real Madrid II1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arenas Getxo – last 1

W
1 Marvs Barakaldo2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Arenas Getxo.

Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo?

On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arenas Getxo 18%.

How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo?

Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 2–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo?

Athletic Club II vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.