Racing Ferrol 50%Draw 30%Cacereño 21%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.74
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRacing Ferrol to win50% · @1.80
Double chanceRacing Ferrol or draw79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.74
Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Racing Ferrol against Cacereño at Estadio Municipal da Malata. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Racing Ferrol are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Cacereño are 10th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Ferrol 1.2 xG, Cacereño 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Ferrol 50%, draw 30%, Cacereño 21%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Ferrol or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Ferrol 1–0 Cacereño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Ferrol50%fair 2.02 · @1.80
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @3.25
Cacereño21%fair 4.83 · @4.33
1.98Expected goals
1.24Racing Ferrol xG
0.74Cacereño xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.2 – 0.7 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Racing Ferrol
Cacereño
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-25%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
-17%
Our expected goals here
0.86
0.58
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win
50%
2.02
1.80
Double chance
Racing Ferrol or draw
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Racing Ferrol (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Racing Ferrol to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Racing Ferrol – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Cacereño.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cacereño 21%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–0 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ourense CF0