Value bet: Real Avilés to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Avilés to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Real Avilés vs Zamora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Real Avilés v Zamora in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. In the table, Real Avilés are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Zamora are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Zamora, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guadalajara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Avilés 1.7 xG, Zamora 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Avilés 44%, draw 25%, Zamora 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Real Avilés to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Avilés 1–1 Zamora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Avilés44%fair 2.26 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.00
Zamora31%fair 3.24 · @2.55
2.82Expected goals
1.68Real Avilés xG
1.13Zamora xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.7 – 1.1 Zamora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Avilés
Zamora
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+55%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-4%
Our expected goals here
2.06
1.04
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Avilés to win✗
44%
2.26
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.83
Draw no bet
Real Avilés (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Zamora +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Real Avilés to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Avilés / FT Real Avilés✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Real Avilés – last 2
DL
27 Feb
@ Tenerife
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo II
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zamora – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Athletic Club II
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Barakaldo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and Zamora.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Zamora?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zamora 31%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs Zamora?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs Zamora?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 Zamora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs Zamora?
Real Avilés vs Zamora (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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