Bergantiños v Coruxo Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBergantiños to win ✗45% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Bergantiños vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 29 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Bergantiños against Coruxo at Estadio As Eiroas. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bergantiños are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Coruxo are 14th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Bergantiños, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Salamanca UDS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Coruxo, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Numancia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 1.7 xG, Coruxo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 45%, draw 26%, Coruxo 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Bergantiños to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 1–1 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bergantiños45%fair 2.21 · @2.62

Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75

Coruxo29%fair 3.48 · @2.75

2.84Expected goals

1.72Bergantiños xG

1.12Coruxo xG

54%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–010%

2–110%

2–09%

0–17%

1–26%

From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.7 – 1.1 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bergantiños to win ✗	45%	2.21	2.62 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	2.05 ▲
Draw no bet	Bergantiños (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Coruxo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Bergantiños to score first ✗	57%	1.75	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños ✗	31%	3.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.33	–

Bergantiños – last 6

DWLDDL

22 Mar	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Lealtad	3–0	W
8 Mar	@ Burgos Promesas	0–1	L
1 Mar	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	2–2	D
22 Feb	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Racing Santander II	3–4	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Coruxo – last 4

DLWL

22 Mar	vs Numancia	1–1	D
8 Mar	vs Langreo	1–2	L
22 Feb	vs Sarriana	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Real Valladolid II	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Coruxo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Coruxo?

On our numbers Bergantiños have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Coruxo 29%.

How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Coruxo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Coruxo?

Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bergantiños vs Coruxo?

Bergantiños vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio As Eiroas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bergantiños v Coruxo: numbers & prediction