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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Numancia v Sarriana: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Numancia

DLWLW
2–2
FT

Sarriana

WWLL
Numancia 61%Draw 23%Sarriana 16% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.88
61%
Betarazi pick

Numancia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultNumancia to win ✗61% · @1.42
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01

Numancia vs Sarriana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Numancia v Sarriana in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos.

Current form

Numancia, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sarriana, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Salamanca UDS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Numancia 1.8 xG, Sarriana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Numancia 61%, draw 23%, Sarriana 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Numancia to win (61%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Numancia 1–0 Sarriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Numancia61%fair 1.65 · @1.42
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
Sarriana16%fair 6.23 · @7.00
2.65Expected goals
1.77Numancia xG
0.88Sarriana xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Numancia 1.8 – 0.9 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win ✗61%1.651.42
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betNumancia (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapSarriana +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreNumancia to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultNumancia ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.01–

Recent results

Numancia – last 5

DLWLW
22 Mar@ Coruxo1–1D
15 Marvs Atlético Astorga0–1L
1 Marvs Burgos Promesas2–0W
22 Feb@ Deportivo La Coruña II1–2L
15 Febvs UD Ourense2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Sarriana – last 4

WWLL
15 Marvs Salamanca UDS1–0W
1 Marvs UD Ourense3–1W
22 Feb@ Coruxo0–1L
15 Febvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Sarriana.

Numancia vs Sarriana head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Racing Santander II1 Real Oviedo II0 142%2.70X23%3.35235%2.20 1.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Bergantiños0 Coruxo1 145%2.62X26%2.75229%2.75 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Deportivo La Coruña II3 Atlético Astorga0 158%1.50X24%3.50218%6.50 1.7–1.0xG 1Deportivo La Coruña II to win 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Gimnástica Segoviana1 Real Valladolid II2 146%1.83X26%3.10228%4.00 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✓
FT Lealtad0 Burgos Promesas2 142%2.00X29%3.00228%3.40 1.2–0.9xG 1XLealtad or draw 72%@1.25 ✗
FT Marino de Luanco0 UD Ourense0 136%2.70X32%2.62232%2.80 1.0–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Numancia vs Sarriana?

Our pick is Numancia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Numancia vs Sarriana?

On our numbers Numancia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarriana 16%.

How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Sarriana?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Sarriana?

Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Numancia vs Sarriana?

Numancia vs Sarriana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.