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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marino de Luanco v UD Ourense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadi Municipal de Miramar

Marino de Luanco

DLDD
0–0
FT

UD Ourense

WLWLD
Marino de Luanco 36%Draw 32%UD Ourense 32% Expected goals 0.97 – 0.83
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✗36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗68% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22

Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Marino de Luanco welcome UD Ourense to Estadi Municipal de Miramar for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 29 March (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Marino de Luanco, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Burgos Promesas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

UD Ourense, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sámano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.0 xG, UD Ourense 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 36%, draw 32%, UD Ourense 32%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 0–0 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marino de Luanco36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.62
UD Ourense32%fair 3.09 · @2.80
1.79Expected goals
0.97Marino de Luanco xG
0.83UD Ourense xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.0 – 0.8 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarino de Luanco to win ✗36%2.802.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗68%1.471.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.57
Draw no betMarino de Luanco (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapUD Ourense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreMarino de Luanco to score first ✗45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.22–

Recent results

Marino de Luanco – last 4

DLDD
15 Marvs Burgos Promesas0–0D
4 Mar@ Gimnástica Segoviana2–3L
22 Feb@ Salamanca UDS0–0D
15 Febvs Deportivo La Coruña II0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

UD Ourense – last 6

WLWLDL
22 Marvs Sámano3–1W
15 Mar@ Langreo0–1L
8 Marvs Real Oviedo II3–0W
1 Mar@ Sarriana1–3L
22 Febvs Racing Santander II3–3D
15 Feb@ Numancia1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and UD Ourense.

Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Racing Santander II1 Real Oviedo II0 142%2.70X23%3.35235%2.20 1.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Bergantiños0 Coruxo1 145%2.62X26%2.75229%2.75 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Deportivo La Coruña II3 Atlético Astorga0 158%1.50X24%3.50218%6.50 1.7–1.0xG 1Deportivo La Coruña II to win 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Gimnástica Segoviana1 Real Valladolid II2 146%1.83X26%3.10228%4.00 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✓
FT Numancia2 Sarriana2 161%1.42X23%3.75216%7.00 1.8–0.9xG 1Numancia to win 61%@1.42 ✗
FT Lealtad0 Burgos Promesas2 142%2.00X29%3.00228%3.40 1.2–0.9xG 1XLealtad or draw 72%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 32% and UD Ourense 32%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 0–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense?

Marino de Luanco vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.