Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lealtad v Burgos Promesas: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Las Callejas

Lealtad

LLWLL
0–2
FT

Burgos Promesas

DWLL
Lealtad 42%Draw 29%Burgos Promesas 28% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.89
72%
Betarazi pick

Lealtad or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLealtad to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceLealtad or draw ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.83

Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burgos Promesas travel to face Lealtad on Sunday 29 March in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Las Callejas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Lealtad, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Burgos Promesas, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Marino de Luanco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lealtad 1.2 xG, Burgos Promesas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lealtad 42%, draw 29%, Burgos Promesas 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lealtad or draw (72%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lealtad or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lealtad 1–0 Burgos Promesas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lealtad42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @3.00
Burgos Promesas28%fair 3.52 · @3.40
2.06Expected goals
1.18Lealtad xG
0.89Burgos Promesas xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lealtad 1.2 – 0.9 Burgos Promesas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLealtad to win ✗42%2.372.00
Double chanceLealtad or draw ✗72%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.95
Draw no betLealtad (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapBurgos Promesas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreLealtad to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lealtad / FT Lealtad ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.83–

Recent results

Lealtad – last 6

LLWLLW
22 Mar@ Deportivo La Coruña II1–3L
15 Mar@ Bergantiños0–3L
8 Marvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
1 Mar@ Racing Santander II0–1L
22 Febvs Real Oviedo II1–2L
15 Feb@ Sámano2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Burgos Promesas – last 4

DWLL
15 Mar@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
8 Marvs Bergantiños1–0W
1 Mar@ Numancia0–2L
21 Febvs Real Ávila1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Burgos Promesas.

Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Racing Santander II1 Real Oviedo II0 142%2.70X23%3.35235%2.20 1.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Bergantiños0 Coruxo1 145%2.62X26%2.75229%2.75 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Deportivo La Coruña II3 Atlético Astorga0 158%1.50X24%3.50218%6.50 1.7–1.0xG 1Deportivo La Coruña II to win 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Gimnástica Segoviana1 Real Valladolid II2 146%1.83X26%3.10228%4.00 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✓
FT Numancia2 Sarriana2 161%1.42X23%3.75216%7.00 1.8–0.9xG 1Numancia to win 61%@1.42 ✗
FT Marino de Luanco0 UD Ourense0 136%2.70X32%2.62232%2.80 1.0–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas?

Our pick is Lealtad or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas?

On our numbers Lealtad have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Burgos Promesas 28%.

How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas?

Our predicted score is Lealtad 1–0 Burgos Promesas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas?

Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Callejas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.