Amorebieta vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 brings Amorebieta against Sestao River at Campo Municipal de Urritxe. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Amorebieta, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Alavés II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sestao River, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Beasain, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 0.9 xG, Sestao River 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 30%, draw 31%, Sestao River 39%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (70%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River or draw (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 0–1 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta30%fair 3.30 · @3.30
Draw31%fair 3.23 · @2.80
Sestao River39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
1.87Expected goals
0.86Amorebieta xG
1.02Sestao River xG
53%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 0.9 – 1.0 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Amorebieta +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.71
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
WWDDDL
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Eibar II
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Tudelano
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Alfaro
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Real Zaragoza II
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Basconia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 5
DDWDL
5 Apr
vs Beasain
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Náxara
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Gernika
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Sestao River or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sestao River 39%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 0–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Amorebieta vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfaro0
SD Logroñés1
Basconia0
Gernika0
Ejea1
Eibar II1
Náxara1
Beasain0
Tudelano1
Deportivo Alavés II2
UD Logroñés3
Mutilvera0
Utebo1
Ebro0
Real Zaragoza II3
Real Unión1