Alfaro v SD Logroñés Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSD Logroñés to win ✓43% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.18

Alfaro vs SD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alfaro welcome SD Logroñés to Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Alfaro, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Náxara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

SD Logroñés, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Zaragoza II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alfaro 1.2 xG, SD Logroñés 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Alfaro 32%, draw 25%, SD Logroñés 43%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Alfaro to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfaro 1–1 SD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alfaro32%fair 3.14 · @3.80

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30

SD Logroñés43%fair 2.33 · @1.80

2.28Expected goals

1.22Alfaro xG

1.07SD Logroñés xG

56%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Alfaro 1.2 – 1.1 SD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SD Logroñés to win ✓	43%	2.33	1.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.78	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	SD Logroñés (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	SD Logroñés +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	66%	1.50	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Alfaro to score first ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Alfaro / FT Alfaro ✗	23%	4.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	14.18	–

Alfaro – last 6

WWLLDD

19 Apr	vs Náxara	2–1	W
2 Apr	vs Real Zaragoza II	3–1	W
29 Mar	@ Basconia	4–6	L
22 Mar	vs UD Logroñés	0–2	L
15 Mar	@ Ejea	2–2	D
8 Mar	vs Amorebieta	0–0	D

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

SD Logroñés – last 6

WLLLDD

19 Apr	vs Real Zaragoza II	1–0	W
5 Apr	vs Basconia	0–3	L
8 Mar	vs Mutilvera	1–3	L
1 Mar	@ UD Logroñés	0–5	L
22 Feb	vs Beasain	1–1	D
14 Feb	@ Ebro	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Espanyol II	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Girona II	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Olot	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Ebro	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Osasuna II	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Manresa	10	4	2	4	+3	14
9	Reddis	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	+1	12
11	Peña Sport	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Barbastro	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	UD Logroñés II	10	2	3	5	-7	9
15	SD Logroñés	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Náxara	9	1	3	5	-10	6
17	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	-13	6
18	Calamocha	10	1	2	7	-14	5

Team

Pts

+15

+14

-2

-2

-2

-6

-7

-7

-10

-13

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfaro vs SD Logroñés?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Alfaro vs SD Logroñés?

On our numbers Alfaro have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SD Logroñés 43%.

How many goals will there be in Alfaro vs SD Logroñés?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alfaro vs SD Logroñés?

Our predicted score is Alfaro 1–1 SD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Alfaro vs SD Logroñés?

Alfaro vs SD Logroñés (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Alfaro v SD Logroñés: numbers & prediction

Alfaro