Utebo v Ebro Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUtebo to win ✓42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Utebo vs Ebro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 brings Utebo against Ebro. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Utebo are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Ebro are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Utebo, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Unión, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ebro, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mutilvera, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ebro, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Utebo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Utebo 1.4 xG, Ebro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Utebo 42%, draw 26%, Ebro 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utebo 1–1 Ebro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Utebo42%fair 2.41 · @2.15

Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20

Ebro32%fair 3.09 · @2.90

2.59Expected goals

1.38Utebo xG

1.21Ebro xG

59%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–010%

0–19%

2–19%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Utebo 1.4 – 1.2 Ebro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Utebo to win ✓	42%	2.41	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.68	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Utebo (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Ebro +1 (Asian handicap)	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Utebo to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Utebo / FT Utebo ✓	24%	4.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.58	–

Utebo – last 6

LDLDDW

29 Mar	vs Real Unión	2–3	L
15 Mar	vs Real Zaragoza II	1–1	D
8 Mar	@ Deportivo Alavés II	1–2	L
1 Mar	vs Ejea	2–2	D
21 Feb	@ Tudelano	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Alfaro	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ebro – last 4

DWDD

3 Apr	@ Mutilvera	1–1	D
8 Mar	@ Tudelano	4–2	W
22 Feb	@ Deportivo Alavés II	1–1	D
14 Feb	vs SD Logroñés	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Espanyol II	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Girona II	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Olot	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Ebro	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Osasuna II	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Manresa	10	4	2	4	+3	14
9	Reddis	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	+1	12
11	Peña Sport	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Barbastro	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	UD Logroñés II	10	2	3	5	-7	9
15	SD Logroñés	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Náxara	9	1	3	5	-10	6
17	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	-13	6
18	Calamocha	10	1	2	7	-14	5

Team

Pts

+15

+14

-2

-2

-2

-6

-7

-7

-10

-13

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utebo vs Ebro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Utebo vs Ebro?

On our numbers Utebo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ebro 32%.

How many goals will there be in Utebo vs Ebro?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Utebo vs Ebro?

Our predicted score is Utebo 1–1 Ebro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Utebo vs Ebro?

Utebo vs Ebro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Utebo v Ebro: numbers & prediction