Basconia vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Basconia v Gernika in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Artunduaga.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Mutilvera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 1.5 xG, Gernika 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 49%, draw 26%, Gernika 26%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 1–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia49%fair 2.06 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Gernika26%fair 3.88 · @4.40
2.57Expected goals
1.45Basconia xG
1.12Gernika xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Basconia 1.5 – 1.1 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
49%
2.06
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Gernika +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Basconia – last 6
WWWDDW
12 Apr
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ SD Logroñés
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Alfaro
6–4
W
22 Mar
@ Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Real Zaragoza II
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Amorebieta
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 2
LD
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Gernika.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Basconia vs Gernika?
On our numbers Basconia have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gernika 26%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Basconia 1–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Gernika?
Basconia vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Artunduaga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfaro0
SD Logroñés1
Amorebieta1
Sestao River1
Ejea1
Eibar II1
Náxara1
Beasain0
Tudelano1
Deportivo Alavés II2
UD Logroñés3
Mutilvera0
Utebo1
Ebro0
Real Zaragoza II3
Real Unión1