Águilas vs Málaga II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Águilas against Málaga II at Estadio El Rubial. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.5 xG, Málaga II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 55%, draw 23%, Málaga II 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.38 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–1 Málaga II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas55%fair 1.83 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
Málaga II22%fair 4.49 · @10.00
2.62Expected goals
1.48Águilas xG
1.14Málaga II xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.5 – 1.1 Málaga II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✓
55%
1.83
1.33
Double chance
Águilas or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Águilas (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Málaga II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Águilas to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Águilas – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ La Unión Atlético
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Málaga II
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Málaga II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.38.
Who will win Águilas vs Málaga II?
On our numbers Águilas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Málaga II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Málaga II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Málaga II?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–1 Málaga II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Málaga II?
Águilas vs Málaga II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.