Almería II 35%Draw 30%Puente Genil 35%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.95
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlmería II to win ✓35% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Almería II vs Puente Genil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Almería II v Puente Genil in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, played at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almería II 1.1 xG, Puente Genil 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almería II 35%, draw 30%, Puente Genil 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almería II 1–0 Puente Genil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almería II35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.80
Puente Genil35%fair 2.87 · @2.38
2.04Expected goals
1.09Almería II xG
0.95Puente Genil xG
42%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Almería II 1.1 – 1.0 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almería II to win✓
35%
2.83
2.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Almería II (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Puente Genil +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Almería II to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almería II / FT Almería II✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Almería II – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Ucam Murcia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puente Genil – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almería II and Puente Genil.
What is the prediction for Almería II vs Puente Genil?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Almería II vs Puente Genil?
On our numbers Almería II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Puente Genil 35%.
How many goals will there be in Almería II vs Puente Genil?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almería II vs Puente Genil?
Our predicted score is Almería II 1–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Almería II vs Puente Genil?
Almería II vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.