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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Estepona v Ucam Murcia: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · Spain · Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez

Ucam Murcia

Estepona 32%Draw 27%Ucam Murcia 41% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.65

69%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

7/10Rating

1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗41% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69% · @1.60

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Estepona vs Ucam Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Estepona against Ucam Murcia at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estepona 1.5 xG, Ucam Murcia 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Estepona 32%, draw 27%, Ucam Murcia 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estepona 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estepona32%fair 3.09 · @3.20

Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.70

Ucam Murcia41%fair 2.45 · @2.30

3.19Expected goals

1.53Estepona xG

1.65Ucam Murcia xG

54%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

2–27%

1–06%

From our goals model: Estepona 1.5 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ucam Murcia to win ✗	41%	2.45	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Ucam Murcia (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Estepona +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.60 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	Ucam Murcia to score first ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.61	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia ✗	24%	4.10	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.56	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estepona and Ucam Murcia.

Estepona vs Ucam Murcia head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	+3	17
5	Real Betis II	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Sanluqueño	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	-3	10
15	Marbella	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	-13	5

More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions

League hub

Almería II2

Puente Genil1 135%2.90X30%2.80235%2.38 1.1–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✗

Deportiva Minera1

Xerez0 141%2.25X30%2.85228%3.10 1.2–0.8xG 1XDeportiva Minera or draw 72%@1.25 ✓

Melilla0

Real Jaén1 139%2.30X28%2.80233%3.10 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✗

Yeclano1

La Unión Atlético0 140%2.20X28%2.90232%3.10 1.1–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.40 ✓

Águilas3

Málaga II1 155%1.33X23%4.00222%10.00 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.38 ✓

Lorca Deportiva1

Antoniano0 146%2.15X28%2.75226%3.40 1.4–0.9xG 1XLorca Deportiva or draw 74%@1.25 ✓

Xerez Deportivo0

Extremadura 19240 134%2.75X27%2.80239%2.55 1.2–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 59%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estepona vs Ucam Murcia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Estepona vs Ucam Murcia?

On our numbers Estepona have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ucam Murcia 41%.

How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Ucam Murcia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Ucam Murcia?

Our predicted score is Estepona 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Estepona vs Ucam Murcia?

Estepona vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.