Estepona v Águilas Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEstepona to win ✓41% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.92

Estepona vs Águilas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Estepona v Águilas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, played at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez.

Current form

Estepona, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Melilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Águilas, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melilla, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estepona 1.5 xG, Águilas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Estepona 41%, draw 27%, Águilas 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Estepona to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estepona 1–1 Águilas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estepona41%fair 2.43 · @2.70

Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.80

Águilas32%fair 3.13 · @2.60

2.63Expected goals

1.50Estepona xG

1.13Águilas xG

55%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Estepona 1.5 – 1.1 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Estepona to win ✓	41%	2.43	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	Estepona (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Águilas +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.14	–
First team to score	Estepona to score first ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Estepona / FT Estepona ✗	27%	3.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.92	–

Estepona – last 6

DWWLWW

5 Apr	vs Melilla	1–1	D
15 Mar	@ Lorca Deportiva	2–0	W
8 Mar	vs La Unión Atlético	3–2	W
1 Mar	@ Puente Genil	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Ucam Murcia	2–0	W
15 Feb	@ Antoniano	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Águilas – last 6

WWWLDW

12 Apr	@ Melilla	1–0	W
5 Apr	vs Xerez Deportivo	3–0	W
8 Mar	vs Puente Genil	3–1	W
1 Mar	@ Real Jaén	1–3	L
25 Feb	vs Recreativo Huelva	0–0	D
22 Feb	vs Málaga II	3–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	+3	17
5	Real Betis II	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Sanluqueño	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	-3	10
15	Marbella	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	-13	5

Team

Pts

+13

-2

-3

-3

-3

-9

-15

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estepona vs Águilas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Estepona vs Águilas?

On our numbers Estepona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Águilas 32%.

How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Águilas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Águilas?

Our predicted score is Estepona 1–1 Águilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Estepona vs Águilas?

Estepona vs Águilas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Estepona v Águilas: numbers & prediction