Puente Genil v Málaga II Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPuente Genil to win ✓53% · @1.55

Double chancePuente Genil or draw ✓77% · @1.08

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.90

Puente Genil vs Málaga II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Málaga II travel to face Puente Genil on Sunday 26 April in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, with Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Puente Genil, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportiva Minera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Málaga II, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Yeclano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Puente Genil, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Málaga II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Puente Genil 1.5 xG, Málaga II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Puente Genil 53%, draw 24%, Málaga II 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Puente Genil to win (53%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puente Genil 1–0 Málaga II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Puente Genil53%fair 1.90 · @1.55

Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60

Málaga II23%fair 4.28 · @5.25

2.61Expected goals

1.50Puente Genil xG

1.11Málaga II xG

50%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

2–08%

0–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.5 – 1.1 Málaga II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Puente Genil to win ✓	53%	1.90	1.55
Double chance	Puente Genil or draw ✓	77%	1.30	1.08
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	2.00	–
Draw no bet	Puente Genil (draw no bet) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Asian handicap	Málaga II +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.99	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Puente Genil to score first	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil ✗	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.90	–

Puente Genil – last 6

DWLLLW

12 Apr	vs Deportiva Minera	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ Xerez	1–0	W
28 Mar	vs Yeclano	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Linares Deportivo	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Águilas	1–3	L
1 Mar	vs Estepona	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Málaga II – last 4

LLLL

22 Mar	@ Yeclano	0–3	L
8 Mar	@ Deportiva Minera	2–3	L
1 Mar	vs Linares Deportivo	1–2	L
22 Feb	@ Águilas	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.8Conceded / game

75%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	+3	17
5	Real Betis II	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Sanluqueño	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	-3	10
15	Marbella	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	-13	5

Team

Pts

+13

-2

-3

-3

-3

-9

-15

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Málaga II?

Our pick is Puente Genil to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Puente Genil vs Málaga II?

On our numbers Puente Genil have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Málaga II 23%.

How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Málaga II?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Málaga II?

Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–0 Málaga II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Puente Genil vs Málaga II?

Puente Genil vs Málaga II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Puente Genil v Málaga II: numbers & prediction