Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win ✓53% · @2.05
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Conquense vs Las Palmas II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Conquense v Las Palmas II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 1.9 xG, Las Palmas II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 53%, draw 25%, Las Palmas II 22%.
Lower-risk option: Conquense or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Conquense or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 1–0 Las Palmas II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Conquense53%fair 1.88 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Las Palmas II22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
2.82Expected goals
1.87Conquense xG
0.94Las Palmas II xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Conquense 1.9 – 0.9 Las Palmas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Conquense
Las Palmas II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+37%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.32
0.88
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Conquense (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Conquense to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Conquense – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Getafe II
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CD Coria
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Palmas II – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Rayo Vallecano II
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Fuenlabrada
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Las Palmas II.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Las Palmas II?
Our pick is Conquense or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Conquense vs Las Palmas II?
On our numbers Conquense have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Las Palmas II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Las Palmas II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Las Palmas II?
Our predicted score is Conquense 1–0 Las Palmas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Las Palmas II?
Conquense vs Las Palmas II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rayo Vallecano II1
Tenerife II4
Socuéllamos1
CD Coria1
Quintanar del Rey3
Colonia Moscardó2
Rayo Majadahonda0