Quintanar del Rey v Colonia Moscardó Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultQuintanar del Rey to win ✓53% · @1.83

Double chanceQuintanar del Rey or draw ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Quintanar del Rey vs Colonia Moscardó: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Quintanar del Rey against Colonia Moscardó at Estadio San Marcos. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quintanar del Rey 1.7 xG, Colonia Moscardó 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Quintanar del Rey 53%, draw 25%, Colonia Moscardó 23%.
Lower-risk option: Quintanar del Rey or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Quintanar del Rey or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Colonia Moscardó. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quintanar del Rey53%fair 1.90 · @1.83

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10

Colonia Moscardó23%fair 4.44 · @4.00

2.67Expected goals

1.65Quintanar del Rey xG

1.02Colonia Moscardó xG

56%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–110%

2–09%

0–17%

0–07%

From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.7 – 1.0 Colonia Moscardó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Quintanar del Rey	Colonia Moscardó
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average	+5%	-7%
Goals conceded vs average	-2%	-5%
Our expected goals here	1.69	1.07

Quintanar del Rey

Colonia Moscardó

Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average

+5%

-7%

Goals conceded vs average

-2%

-5%

Our expected goals here

1.69

1.07

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Quintanar del Rey to win ✓	53%	1.90	1.83
Double chance	Quintanar del Rey or draw ✓	77%	1.29	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Quintanar del Rey (draw no bet) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Colonia Moscardó +1 (Asian handicap)	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Quintanar del Rey to score first	58%	1.74	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Quintanar del Rey / FT Quintanar del Rey ✓	32%	3.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.39	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Quintanar del Rey to win ✓

53%

1.90

1.83

Double chance

Quintanar del Rey or draw ✓

77%

1.29

1.20

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

56%

1.79

1.95 ▲

Draw no bet

Quintanar del Rey (draw no bet) ✓

70%

1.43

–

Asian handicap

Colonia Moscardó +1 (Asian handicap)

63%

1.59

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

75%

1.34

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

50%

2.00

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

72%

1.39

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

87%

1.15

–

First team to score

Quintanar del Rey to score first

58%

1.74

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

42%

2.39

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Quintanar del Rey / FT Quintanar del Rey ✓

32%

3.14

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.39

–

21 Feb	@ SS Reyes	2–3	L
15 Feb	vs Tenerife II	2–3	L

21 Feb	vs CD Coria	2–1	W
15 Feb	@ Rayo Majadahonda	1–1	D

Quintanar del Rey v Colonia Moscardó: numbers & prediction