Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceRSD Alcalá or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RSD Alcalá welcome Socuéllamos to Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 1 March (12:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.8 xG, Socuéllamos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 58%, draw 25%, Socuéllamos 18%.
Lower-risk option: RSD Alcalá or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RSD Alcalá to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–0 Socuéllamos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.20
Socuéllamos18%fair 5.69 · @5.00
2.78Expected goals
1.82RSD Alcalá xG
0.96Socuéllamos xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.8 – 1.0 Socuéllamos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RSD Alcalá
Socuéllamos
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+1%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.95
1.09
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
RSD Alcalá or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Socuéllamos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
RSD Alcalá ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Orihuela
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Socuéllamos – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Elche II
2–5
L
15 Feb
vs Real Madrid III
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and Socuéllamos.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos?
Our pick is RSD Alcalá to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Socuéllamos 18%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–0 Socuéllamos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos?
RSD Alcalá vs Socuéllamos (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.