Value bet: Elche II to win @ 3.90 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRayo Majadahonda to win ✓47% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rayo Majadahonda travel to face Elche II on Sunday 19 April in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, with Campo Diego Quiles the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Elche II, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tenerife II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Navalcarnero, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elche II 1.3 xG, Rayo Majadahonda 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elche II 28%, draw 25%, Rayo Majadahonda 47%.
Price worth noting: Elche II to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche II 1–2 Rayo Majadahonda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elche II28%fair 3.55 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Rayo Majadahonda47%fair 2.12 · @1.80
2.78Expected goals
1.28Elche II xG
1.50Rayo Majadahonda xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Elche II 1.3 – 1.5 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Elche II
Rayo Majadahonda
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+6%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.44
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✓
47%
2.12
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Rayo Majadahonda (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Elche II +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Rayo Majadahonda to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Elche II – last 6
WLLDWW
12 Apr
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Fuenlabrada
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Getafe II
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Intercity
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Socuéllamos
5–2
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
3–2
W
29 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Intercity
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Orihuela
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Elche II have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rayo Majadahonda 47%.
How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Elche II 1–2 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Elche II vs Rayo Majadahonda (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Diego Quiles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Getafe II3
Las Palmas II0
Intercity1
Quintanar del Rey2
Navalcarnero2
Conquense0
RSD Alcalá3
Rayo Vallecano II0
Socuéllamos2
Fuenlabrada3
Tenerife II4
CD Coria0