Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Navalcarnero vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navalcarnero welcome Conquense to Estadio Municipal Mariano González for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 19 April (11:00 WAT). In the table, Navalcarnero are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Conquense are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Navalcarnero, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rayo Majadahonda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Conquense, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Orihuela, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Conquense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Navalcarnero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.4 xG, Conquense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 41%, draw 26%, Conquense 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navalcarnero41%fair 2.46 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.95
Conquense33%fair 3.00 · @2.85
2.68Expected goals
1.44Navalcarnero xG
1.24Conquense xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.4 – 1.2 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Navalcarnero
Conquense
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+20%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.75
1.45
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
41%
2.46
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Navalcarnero (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Conquense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Navalcarnero to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Navalcarnero – last 6
LLLWLW
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Elche II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Socuéllamos
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Real Madrid III
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Conquense – last 6
DWWWDW
5 Apr
@ Orihuela
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Colonia Moscardó
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Intercity
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Getafe II
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CD Coria
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Conquense.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Conquense?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Conquense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Conquense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Conquense?
Navalcarnero vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Las Palmas II0
Intercity1
Quintanar del Rey2
Elche II0
Rayo Majadahonda1
Rayo Vallecano II0
Socuéllamos2
Fuenlabrada3
Tenerife II4
CD Coria0