Value bet: Socuéllamos to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFuenlabrada to win ✓38% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Socuéllamos against Fuenlabrada at Estadio Paquito Jiménez. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Socuéllamos, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tenerife II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Fuenlabrada, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to RSD Alcalá, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Socuéllamos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Fuenlabrada.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Socuéllamos 1.4 xG, Fuenlabrada 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Socuéllamos 37%, draw 25%, Fuenlabrada 38%.
Price worth noting: Socuéllamos to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Socuéllamos 1–1 Fuenlabrada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Socuéllamos37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
Fuenlabrada38%fair 2.65 · @2.05
2.64Expected goals
1.40Socuéllamos xG
1.24Fuenlabrada xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Socuéllamos 1.4 – 1.2 Fuenlabrada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Socuéllamos
Fuenlabrada
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
-2%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.64
1.20
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fuenlabrada to win✓
38%
2.65
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Fuenlabrada (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Fuenlabrada +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Socuéllamos to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Socuéllamos / FT Socuéllamos✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Socuéllamos – last 6
LWWLLW
5 Apr
vs Tenerife II
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Quintanar del Rey
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Elche II
2–5
L
15 Feb
vs Real Madrid III
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fuenlabrada – last 6
LLWDLD
12 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Elche II
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Intercity
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Las Palmas II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Socuéllamos and Fuenlabrada.
What is the prediction for Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
On our numbers Socuéllamos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fuenlabrada 38%.
How many goals will there be in Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Our predicted score is Socuéllamos 1–1 Fuenlabrada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada?
Socuéllamos vs Fuenlabrada (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Getafe II3
Las Palmas II0
Intercity1
Quintanar del Rey2
Elche II0
Rayo Majadahonda1
Navalcarnero2
Conquense0
RSD Alcalá3
Rayo Vallecano II0
Tenerife II4
CD Coria0