Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceRSD Alcalá or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓9% · fair 11.66
RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: RSD Alcalá v Rayo Vallecano II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fuenlabrada, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano II, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Getafe II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 2.0 xG, Rayo Vallecano II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 66%, draw 21%, Rayo Vallecano II 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RSD Alcalá to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 2–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.80
Rayo Vallecano II14%fair 7.33 · @6.20
2.77Expected goals
2.02RSD Alcalá xG
0.75Rayo Vallecano II xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 2.0 – 0.8 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RSD Alcalá
Rayo Vallecano II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+1%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.17
0.75
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
RSD Alcalá or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
RSD Alcalá -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
RSD Alcalá ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 6
WWWWLW
12 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Palmas II
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Tenerife II
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Socuéllamos
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano II – last 6
LDLLLL
29 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Orihuela
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Tenerife II
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ Las Palmas II
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs SS Reyes
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and Rayo Vallecano II.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our pick is RSD Alcalá to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rayo Vallecano II 14%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 2–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II?
RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Las Palmas II0
Intercity1
Quintanar del Rey2
Elche II0
Rayo Majadahonda1
Socuéllamos2
Fuenlabrada3
Tenerife II4
CD Coria0