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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colonia Moscardó v Navalcarnero: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Román Valero
0–0
FT
Colonia Moscardó 39%Draw 26%Navalcarnero 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.29
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultColonia Moscardó to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Colonia Moscardó against Navalcarnero at Estadio Román Valero. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Colonia Moscardó, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Madrid III, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Navalcarnero, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Conquense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colonia Moscardó 1.4 xG, Navalcarnero 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colonia Moscardó 39%, draw 26%, Navalcarnero 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colonia Moscardó 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colonia Moscardó39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Navalcarnero35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
2.68Expected goals
1.38Colonia Moscardó xG
1.29Navalcarnero xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Colonia Moscardó 1.4 – 1.3 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Colonia MoscardóNavalcarnero
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average-7%+20%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-9%
Our expected goals here1.421.33

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColonia Moscardó to win ✗39%2.552.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betColonia Moscardó (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapNavalcarnero +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreColonia Moscardó to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colonia Moscardó / FT Colonia Moscardó ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Colonia Moscardó – last 6

LWLLWL
14 Apr@ Real Madrid III0–1L
5 Apr@ Getafe II2–0W
22 Marvs Las Palmas II1–2L
15 Mar@ Conquense0–3L
8 Marvs Rayo Vallecano II4–0W
1 Mar@ Quintanar del Rey2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Navalcarnero – last 6

WLLLWL
19 Aprvs Conquense2–0W
5 Aprvs Rayo Majadahonda2–3L
29 Mar@ Quintanar del Rey0–1L
22 Mar@ RSD Alcalá0–1L
15 Marvs Elche II2–1W
8 Mar@ Socuéllamos0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colonia Moscardó and Navalcarnero.

Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?

On our numbers Colonia Moscardó have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Navalcarnero 35%.

How many goals will there be in Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?

Our predicted score is Colonia Moscardó 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?

Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Román Valero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.