Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Colonia Moscardó against Navalcarnero at Estadio Román Valero. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Colonia Moscardó, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Madrid III, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Conquense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colonia Moscardó 1.4 xG, Navalcarnero 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colonia Moscardó 39%, draw 26%, Navalcarnero 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colonia Moscardó 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colonia Moscardó39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Navalcarnero35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
2.68Expected goals
1.38Colonia Moscardó xG
1.29Navalcarnero xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colonia Moscardó 1.4 – 1.3 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colonia Moscardó
Navalcarnero
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
-7%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.33
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colonia Moscardó to win✗
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Colonia Moscardó (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Navalcarnero +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Colonia Moscardó to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colonia Moscardó / FT Colonia Moscardó✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Colonia Moscardó – last 6
LWLLWL
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid III
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Getafe II
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Las Palmas II
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Conquense
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano II
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 6
WLLLWL
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Elche II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Socuéllamos
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colonia Moscardó and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Colonia Moscardó have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Navalcarnero 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is Colonia Moscardó 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero?
Colonia Moscardó vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Román Valero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.