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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quintanar del Rey v RSD Alcalá: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio San Marcos

Quintanar del Rey

WWWLL
0–0
FT

RSD Alcalá

WWWWW
Quintanar del Rey 41%Draw 26%RSD Alcalá 33% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.13
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuintanar del Rey to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08

Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Quintanar del Rey welcome RSD Alcalá to Estadio San Marcos for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Quintanar del Rey, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Intercity, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

RSD Alcalá, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rayo Vallecano II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Quintanar del Rey.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quintanar del Rey 1.4 xG, RSD Alcalá 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quintanar del Rey 41%, draw 26%, RSD Alcalá 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quintanar del Rey41%fair 2.45 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.95
RSD Alcalá33%fair 3.04 · @2.70
2.56Expected goals
1.43Quintanar del Rey xG
1.13RSD Alcalá xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.4 – 1.1 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Quintanar del ReyRSD Alcalá
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average+5%+1%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-5%
Our expected goals here1.701.15

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuintanar del Rey to win ✗41%2.452.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betQuintanar del Rey (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapRSD Alcalá +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreQuintanar del Rey to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quintanar del Rey / FT Quintanar del Rey ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.08–

Recent results

Quintanar del Rey – last 6

WWWLLW
19 Apr@ Intercity2–1W
5 Aprvs Fuenlabrada1–0W
29 Marvs Navalcarnero1–0W
22 Mar@ Socuéllamos1–3L
15 Marvs Real Madrid III1–2L
8 Mar@ Las Palmas II2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 6

WWWWWL
19 Aprvs Rayo Vallecano II3–0W
12 Apr@ Fuenlabrada2–0W
5 Aprvs Las Palmas II2–1W
29 Mar@ Rayo Majadahonda2–1W
22 Marvs Navalcarnero1–0W
15 Mar@ Tenerife II0–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Quintanar del Rey and RSD Alcalá.

Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT CD Coria4 Elche II0 156%1.65X22%3.60222%4.20 1.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.73 ✓
FT Colonia Moscardó0 Navalcarnero0 139%2.30X26%3.10235%2.75 1.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.73 ✓
FT Conquense1 Tenerife II0 160%1.85X22%3.40219%3.50 2.1–1.0xG 1XConquense or draw 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Fuenlabrada0 Rayo Majadahonda0 129%3.55X27%3.10245%1.95 1.1–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Getafe II0 Intercity1 153%1.75X25%3.40222%3.90 1.6–1.0xG 1Getafe II to win 53%@1.75 ✗
FT Las Palmas II2 Orihuela1 147%1.91X25%3.35228%3.40 1.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Rayo Vallecano II0 Socuéllamos2 136%2.38X25%3.35239%2.50 1.3–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.73 ✗
FT SS Reyes0 Real Madrid III3 154%1.60X29%3.40218%5.00 1.4–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.65 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and RSD Alcalá 33%.

How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Our predicted score is Quintanar del Rey 1–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Marcos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.