Conquense 60%Draw 22%Tenerife II 19%Expected goals 2.10 – 1.01
81%
Betarazi pick
Conquense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Conquense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.55
Conquense vs Tenerife II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Conquense v Tenerife II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta.
Current form
Conquense, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Navalcarnero, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tenerife II, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over CD Coria, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 2.1 xG, Tenerife II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 60%, draw 22%, Tenerife II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Conquense or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Conquense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Conquense or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 2–1 Tenerife II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Conquense60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Tenerife II19%fair 5.32 · @3.50
3.11Expected goals
2.10Conquense xG
1.01Tenerife II xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.1 – 1.0 Tenerife II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Conquense
Tenerife II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+37%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+12%
Our expected goals here
2.58
1.10
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Conquense (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Conquense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Conquense to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.55
–
Recent results
Conquense – last 6
LDWWWD
19 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Orihuela
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Colonia Moscardó
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Intercity
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Getafe II
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tenerife II – last 6
WLWLLW
19 Apr
vs CD Coria
4–0
W
12 Apr
vs Elche II
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Orihuela
1–3
L
22 Mar
@ Getafe II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Tenerife II.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Our pick is Conquense or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Conquense vs Tenerife II?
On our numbers Conquense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tenerife II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Tenerife II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–1 Tenerife II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Conquense vs Tenerife II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Coria4
Elche II0
Colonia Moscardó0
Fuenlabrada0
Rayo Majadahonda0
Intercity1
Las Palmas II2
Orihuela1
Quintanar del Rey0
Rayo Vallecano II0
Socuéllamos2