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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SS Reyes v Real Madrid III: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera

SS Reyes

WWDWW
0–3
FT

Real Madrid III

WWLWW
SS Reyes 54%Draw 29%Real Madrid III 18% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.75
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultSS Reyes to win ✗54% · @1.60
Double chanceSS Reyes or draw ✗82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05

SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings SS Reyes against Real Madrid III at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, SS Reyes are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Real Madrid III are 11th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

SS Reyes, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Intercity, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Real Madrid III, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colonia Moscardó, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours SS Reyes, collecting 2.6 points per game to 2.0 for Real Madrid III.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SS Reyes 1.4 xG, Real Madrid III 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SS Reyes 54%, draw 29%, Real Madrid III 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Reyes 1–0 Real Madrid III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SS Reyes54%fair 1.86 · @1.60
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @3.40
Real Madrid III18%fair 5.66 · @5.00
2.11Expected goals
1.37SS Reyes xG
0.75Real Madrid III xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.4 – 0.7 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SS ReyesReal Madrid III
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average+1%-38%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-43%
Our expected goals here0.980.63

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSS Reyes to win ✗54%1.861.60
Double chanceSS Reyes or draw ✗82%1.211.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betSS Reyes (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapReal Madrid III +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreSS Reyes to score first ✗57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes ✗30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.05–

Recent results

SS Reyes – last 5

WWDWW
5 Apr@ Intercity2–0W
15 Mar@ Las Palmas II2–1W
1 Mar@ CD Coria1–1D
21 Febvs Quintanar del Rey3–2W
15 Feb@ Rayo Vallecano II1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Real Madrid III – last 6

WWLWWL
14 Aprvs Colonia Moscardó1–0W
11 Apr@ Las Palmas II1–0W
5 Aprvs CD Coria2–3L
15 Mar@ Quintanar del Rey2–1W
8 Marvs Tenerife II4–0W
1 Mar@ Navalcarnero0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Real Madrid III.

SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT CD Coria4 Elche II0 156%1.65X22%3.60222%4.20 1.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.73 ✓
FT Colonia Moscardó0 Navalcarnero0 139%2.30X26%3.10235%2.75 1.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.73 ✓
FT Conquense1 Tenerife II0 160%1.85X22%3.40219%3.50 2.1–1.0xG 1XConquense or draw 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Fuenlabrada0 Rayo Majadahonda0 129%3.55X27%3.10245%1.95 1.1–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Getafe II0 Intercity1 153%1.75X25%3.40222%3.90 1.6–1.0xG 1Getafe II to win 53%@1.75 ✗
FT Las Palmas II2 Orihuela1 147%1.91X25%3.35228%3.40 1.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Quintanar del Rey0 RSD Alcalá0 141%2.45X26%2.95233%2.70 1.4–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.55 ✓
FT Rayo Vallecano II0 Socuéllamos2 136%2.38X25%3.35239%2.50 1.3–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.73 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

On our numbers SS Reyes have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Madrid III 18%.

How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–0 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.