Value bet: Arzignano Valchiampo to win @ 3.24 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLumezzane to win ✗41% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lumezzane welcome Arzignano Valchiampo to Tullio Saleri for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Tuesday 3 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lumezzane are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Arzignano Valchiampo, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Novara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.2 xG, Arzignano Valchiampo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 41%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Arzignano Valchiampo to win @3.24 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Arzignano Valchiampo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lumezzane41%fair 2.46 · @2.03
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.22
Arzignano Valchiampo33%fair 3.02 · @3.24
2.48Expected goals
1.22Lumezzane xG
1.26Arzignano Valchiampo xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.3 Arzignano Valchiampo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lumezzane
Arzignano Valchiampo
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-12%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.03
1.37
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lumezzane to win✗
41%
2.46
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.78
Draw no bet
Lumezzane (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Lumezzane +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Arzignano Valchiampo to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Lumezzane – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs Novara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ospitaletto
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Albinoleffe
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Arzignano Valchiampo.
What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arzignano Valchiampo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Arzignano Valchiampo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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