Virtus Verona vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the Serie C Girone A brings Virtus Verona against Novara at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Novara, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arzignano Valchiampo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Verona 1.2 xG, Novara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Verona 37%, draw 27%, Novara 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Verona 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Verona37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Novara36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
2.33Expected goals
1.22Virtus Verona xG
1.11Novara xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Virtus Verona 1.2 – 1.1 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Virtus Verona
Novara
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-9%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.00
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Verona to win✗
37%
2.72
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Draw no bet
Virtus Verona (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Novara +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Virtus Verona to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Verona / FT Virtus Verona✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Virtus Verona – last 2
LD
23 Feb
vs Vicenza Virtus
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Lecco
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novara – last 3
DWW
27 Feb
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Triestina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Verona and Novara.
What is the prediction for Virtus Verona vs Novara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Virtus Verona vs Novara?
On our numbers Virtus Verona have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novara 36%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Verona vs Novara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Verona vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Virtus Verona 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Virtus Verona vs Novara?
Virtus Verona vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pro Patria0
Inter U231
Triestina2