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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcione v Giana Erminio: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Ernesto Breda

Alcione

W
1–1
FT

Giana Erminio

WLL
Alcione 40%Draw 27%Giana Erminio 33% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.08
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlcione to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29

Alcione vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Alcione v Giana Erminio in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Ernesto Breda. In the table, Alcione are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Giana Erminio, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PRO Vercelli, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcione 1.2 xG, Giana Erminio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcione 40%, draw 27%, Giana Erminio 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcione 1–1 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcione40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Giana Erminio33%fair 3.00 · @2.70
2.31Expected goals
1.23Alcione xG
1.08Giana Erminio xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Alcione 1.2 – 1.1 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlcioneGiana Erminio
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average+14%-10%
Goals conceded vs average+9%-1%
Our expected goals here1.451.22

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcione to win ✗40%2.522.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.80
Draw no betAlcione (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapGiana Erminio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreAlcione to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcione / FT Alcione ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.29–

Recent results

Alcione – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Vicenza Virtus1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Giana Erminio – last 3

WLL
27 Febvs PRO Vercelli1–0W
21 Feb@ Novara1–3L
15 Feb@ Lumezzane0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Giana Erminio.

Alcione vs Giana Erminio head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

League hub
FT Ospitaletto0 Pro Patria0 153%1.95X26%3.25221%3.50 1.6–1.0xG 1XOspitaletto or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Lumezzane0 Arzignano Valchiampo1 141%2.03X26%3.22233%3.24 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.24 ✓
FT Pergolettese2 PRO Vercelli1 141%2.60X26%3.10233%2.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Cittadella1 Inter U231 149%2.10X27%3.10224%3.30 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Triestina2 Dolomiti Bellunesi3 147%2.05X25%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Albinoleffe1 Union Brescia0 121%3.92X24%3.28254%1.81 1.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.29 ✗
FT Virtus Verona0 Novara2 137%2.55X27%3.20236%2.55 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Lecco0 Renate3 155%1.86X25%3.24220%3.75 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcione vs Giana Erminio?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alcione vs Giana Erminio?

On our numbers Alcione have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Giana Erminio 33%.

How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Giana Erminio?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Giana Erminio?

Our predicted score is Alcione 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Alcione vs Giana Erminio?

Alcione vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.