On Tuesday 3 March the Serie C Girone A brings Lecco against Renate at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Lecco are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Renate are 17th (lower half) with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 1.6 xG, Renate 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 55%, draw 25%, Renate 20%.
Lower-risk option: Lecco or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 1–0 Renate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecco55%fair 1.83 · @1.86
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.24
Renate20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
2.53Expected goals
1.62Lecco xG
0.91Renate xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.6 – 0.9 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lecco
Renate
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+35%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.07
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
55%
1.83
1.86
Double chance
Lecco or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.82
Draw no bet
Lecco (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Renate +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Lecco to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Lecco – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Virtus Verona
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Renate – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Renate.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lecco vs Renate?
On our numbers Lecco have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renate 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Renate?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Renate?
Lecco vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pro Patria0
Inter U231
Triestina2
Virtus Verona0