Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✓48% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Potenza vs Benevento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benevento travel to face Potenza on Sunday 1 March in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 1.5 xG, Benevento 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 29%, draw 23%, Benevento 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 1–1 Benevento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza29%fair 3.42 · @5.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Benevento48%fair 2.08 · @1.60
3.10Expected goals
1.54Potenza xG
1.57Benevento xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.5 – 1.6 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
48%
2.08
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Potenza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Benevento to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Potenza – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Latina
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Team Altamura
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and Benevento.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Potenza vs Benevento?
On our numbers Potenza have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benevento 48%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Benevento?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Benevento?
Potenza vs Benevento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Siracusa4
Latina1