Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCatania to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Salernitana vs Catania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Serie C Girone C brings Salernitana against Catania at Stadio Arechi. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Salernitana are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Catania are 3rd (among the top four) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salernitana 1.1 xG, Catania 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salernitana 34%, draw 28%, Catania 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salernitana 1–1 Catania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salernitana34%fair 2.95 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.85
Catania38%fair 2.66 · @2.70
2.30Expected goals
1.10Salernitana xG
1.20Catania xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Salernitana 1.1 – 1.2 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catania to win✗
38%
2.66
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Catania (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Salernitana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Catania to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catania / FT Catania✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Salernitana – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Catania – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Giugliano
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Trapani 1905
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salernitana and Catania.
What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Catania?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Salernitana vs Catania?
On our numbers Salernitana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Catania 38%.
How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Catania?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Salernitana vs Catania?
Salernitana vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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