Cosenza vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sorrento travel to face Cosenza on Sunday 1 March in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cosenza are 19th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Sorrento are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cosenza 1.3 xG, Sorrento 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cosenza 50%, draw 26%, Sorrento 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cosenza 1–1 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cosenza50%fair 1.99 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.60
Sorrento24%fair 4.20 · @5.10
2.38Expected goals
1.34Cosenza xG
1.03Sorrento xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cosenza 1.3 – 1.0 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cosenza to win✓
50%
1.99
1.60
Double chance
Cosenza or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Cosenza (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Sorrento +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cosenza to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cosenza / FT Cosenza✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Cosenza – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Atalanta II
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Siracusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cosenza and Sorrento.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cosenza vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Cosenza have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sorrento 24%.
How many goals will there be in Cosenza vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosenza vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Cosenza 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cosenza vs Sorrento?
Cosenza vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.